The Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale Metropolitan Statistical Area (Phoenix MSA) includes all of Maricopa County and Pinal County and is 14,587 square miles (Maricopa County, 9,223 square miles and Pinal County, 5,364 square miles). The risks to the short-run outlook primarily revolve around the progress of the outbreak. Official websites use .gov Learn more about how Statista can support your business. Prior series based on the 2010 Census were released in 2012 and 2014. Then you can access your favorite statistics via the star in the header. Income growth is forecast to slow to 2.8% next year, as the fiscal stimulus is replaced by organic income gains. Similarly, the state needs to invest in public infrastructure, like highways and roads, water and sewer, telecommunications, airports, and border ports of entry, to ensure that the state is competitive around the U.S. and globally. The forecast calls for employment to return to its first quarter 2020 level by the second quarter of 2021. The projections indicated that the numeric population growth in Arizona throughout the projection period (1997 to 2050) would be higher than in the period prior to the mid-1990s but that the population change would not rise much over the projection period, as seen in Table 3. The following Excel files contain aggregate population data for each state and the nation.You can also access our national population projections methodology. To sign up for updates please enter your email address. The pessimistic scenario assumes a somewhat slower, more prolonged recovery. By George W. Hammond, Ph.D., Director and Research Professor, EBRC. Both births and deaths are expected to rise during the forecast, but deaths increase at a faster pace. Those towns are not getting worse, they're getting better. The Sun Corridor (Maricopa County, Pima County, and Pinal County) collected $5.6billion in sales tax revenue, making up 85% of the state total for FY 2019. It focuses on 2030 as a demographic turning point for the United States, but explores broader changes in the age, race, and ethnic composition of the population from 2020 to 2060. U.S. nonfarm payroll jobs are forecast to fall 5.3% this year, then rebound in 2021 and 2022. Department of Economic and Social Affairs, World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, Office of Intergovernmental Support and Coordination for Sustainable Development, Division for Sustainable Development Goals, Division for Public Institutions and Digital Government, Financing for Sustainable Development Office, Division for Inclusive Social Development, Capacity Development Programme Management Office. The baseline forecast assumes that the current surge in the outbreak is contained quickly and that there is no major resurgence in the fall/winter. San Antonio, Texas, had the highest numeric gain of 13,626 people between 2020 and 2021. Tucson jobs were down 3.4%, while Phoenix jobs were down 5.7%. These projections are made for July 1 of each year in the projection period. About 1.3 million grandparents in the labor force are responsible for most of the basic care of coresident grandchildren under age 18. An official website of the United States government. Keep in mind that the nonfarm payroll employment data reflect the number of jobs on payrolls of establishments during the pay period including the 12th of the month. On an annual average basis, state job growth is forecast to hit 4.3% in 2021 (the rebound year) and then gradually decelerate to 1.8% by 2026. The sixth-fastest-growing area was Fort Myers, Florida (6.8%), followed by Casa Grande, Arizona (6.2%); Maricopa, Arizona (6.1%); North Port, Florida (5.5%); Spring Hill, Tennessee (5.4%); Goodyear, Arizona (5.4%); and Port St. Lucie, Florida (5.2%). That would put the states income gap back to levels last seen in the 2000s. Keep in mind that the nonfarm payroll employment data reflect the number of jobs on payrolls of establishments during the pay period including the 12th of the month. The household survey, which generates the state unemployment rate estimate, includes agricultural workers and the self-employed, as well as other groups excluded from the establishment survey. The other six most populous cities experienced some moderate to small growth in population. Population: Total Population National Ranking Population Projections In-Migration 2017 Net Migration 2017 Educational Attainment 2017 Age 2018 Household income 2018 Race & Ethnicity Other Economic Indicators: Real GDP Growth Loading. These assumptions generate a continued gradual recovery in Arizona through the second half of 2020 and into 2021. Yuma, Lake Havasu-Kingman, and Flagstaff were hit harder, with jobs down 7.1%, 9.0%, and 17.2%, respectively. The population of Arizona in 2019 was 7,291,843, a 1.78% increase from 2018. statistic alerts) please log in with your personal account. Following San Antonio were Phoenix, Arizona (13,224); Fort Worth, Texas (12,916); Port St. Lucie, Florida (10,771); North Las Vegas, Nevada (9,917); Cape Coral, Florida (8,220); Buckeye, Arizona (8,001); Frisco, Texas (7,933); New Braunfels, Texas (7,538); Georgetown, Texas (7,193); Meridian, Idaho (6,234); Leander, Texas (6,159); Fort Meyers, Florida (5,891); Denton, Texas (5,844); and McKinney, Texas (5,568). More information on the timing of specific population and housing unit estimates products is available at www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/about/schedule.html. Whether or not the state makes significant progress in closing the income gap with the U.S. will depend in large part on investments in education, as well as other drivers of innovation. Our surveys provide periodic and comprehensive statistics about the nation. Failure to invest in human capital accumulation will make it very difficult for the state to eliminate the income gap with the nation. The MAG Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) area is 10,654 square miles and consists of 27 cities and towns, three Native American Indian Communities, all of Maricopa County, and portions of Pinal County. Even so, Arizona continues to far outpace growth at the national level. These data result from a survey of establishments and exclude agricultural workers and the self-employed. Followed by Phoenix, Arizona (13,224), and Fort Worth, Texas (12,916). The metro area population of Phoenix in 2022 was 4,652,000, a 1.48% increase from 2021. Business Solutions including all features. Rounding out the list were three suburbs of Boise, Idaho: Meridian (5.2%), Caldwell (5.2%) and Nampa (5.0%). Measuring America's People, Places, and Economy. December 6, 2021 View Ellers 2021 Economic Outlook event, featuring EBRC director George Hammond and former Chase chief economist Anthony Chan. Secure .gov websites use HTTPS Arizona, Texas, Florida and Idaho all had several places among the 15 fastest-growing cities or towns: San Antonio, Texas, topped the list of the largest numeric gainers with an increase of 13,626 people between 2020 and 2021. ) or https:// means youve safely connected to the .gov website. United Nations population projections are also included through the year 2035. The baseline forecast assumes that the current surge in the outbreak is contained quickly and that there is no major resurgence in the fall/winter. In, University of Virginia (Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service). The population for each place (including CDPs) The fastest-growing county was Rockwall County, Texas, which increased by 6.5% between July 1, 2020, and July 1, 2021, followed by Chambers County, Texas (5.7%); Jasper County, South Carolina (5.4%); Hays and Comal counties in Texas, and Morgan County, Georgia (5.2%) were tied for. A locked padlock Consumer spending remains the epicenter of the downturn, with a drop of 5.8% this year, but business fixed investment, residential investment, and net exports decline significantly as well. That translated into 2.6% of Arizonas total personal income last year. The Census Bureau develops city and town population estimates by using updated housingunit estimates to distribute county household population to subcounty areas based on the average household population per housing unit. Explore census data with visualizations and view tutorials. Indeed, by 2050, net migration is forecast to be responsible for all state population increase. The 2017 series extends this work and for the first time accounts for the generally lower mortality rates and longer life expectancy of the foreign-born. Only government spending, excluding transfers, rises (slightly) in 2020. The risks to the short-run outlook primarily revolve around the progress of the outbreak. The forecast assumes that the current executive order affecting activity at bars, indoor gyms, indoor movie theaters, and other activities, expires in August. Get full access to all features within our Business Solutions. The July 2020 forecast from IHS Markit underpins the state projections. They are typically based on an estimated population consistent with the most recent decennial census and are produced using the cohort-component method. Only government spending, excluding transfers, rises (slightly) in 2020. Arizonas per capita personal income gap with the U.S. is expected to decline from -18.4% in 2019 to -13.0% by 2050. The recovery begins in the third quarter, but even so, real GDP falls by 6.1% in 2020. Exhibit 2 shows the three scenarios for Arizona nonfarm jobs. While it is difficult to foresee the long-run impacts of the pandemic on Arizona while we are in the middle of the crisis, we do know that the factors that drive long-run economic performance in our per capita standard of living will be innovation, physical capital, and public infrastructure. Water resources and other environmental concerns will also have an important influence on growth in coming decades. Ten years from now, the U.S. population will have almost 350 million people. Seven places joined the list of cities with populations of 50,000 or more in 2021 with one addition located in the West, and the Midwest and the South each contributing three cities. These data did not paint such a rosy picture in June. Explore census data with visualizations and view tutorials. An official website of the United States government. Water resources and other environmental concerns will also have an important influence on growth in coming decades. The 2017 National Population Projections include a main series and three alternative scenarios. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. This report discusses projected changes in the U.S. population and summarizes results from the U.S. Census Bureau's 2017 National Population Projections. Explore census data with visualizations and view tutorials. Georgetown, Texas, had the largest growth from July 2020 to July 2021, increasing by 10.5%, a rate of growth which would double the population in less than seven years. Overall, that implies that Arizona has replaced 46.4% of the jobs lost from February to April. Please create an employee account to be able to mark statistics as favorites. COVID-19 and Projected Older Populations in Latin America. (2019). Yuma, Lake Havasu-Kingman, and Flagstaff were hit harder, with jobs down 7.1%, 9.0%, and 17.2%, respectively. Eight of the 15 fastest-growing large cities or towns by percent change were in the West with five in Arizona and seven in the South. The annual average 2018non-farm employment for the Phoenix MSA was estimated at 2.1million, which makes up 74% of the states employment. Measuring America's People, Places, and Economy. The current world population of 7.6 billion is expected to reach 8.6 billion in 2030, 9.8 billion in 2050 and 11.2 billion in 2100, according to a new United Nations report being launched today. Living Longer: Historical and Projected Life Expectancy in the U.S. We have provided a few examples below that you can copy and paste to your site: Your image export is now complete. This infographic provides an overview of the Phoenix MSA including demographics, employment, and transportation. The current world population of 7.6 billion is expected to reach 8.6 billion in 2030, 9.8 billion in 2050 and 11.2 billion in 2100, according to a new United Nations report being launched today. At this point, possible long-term impacts are speculative at best. The population of Arizona in 2022 was 7,359,197, a 1.3% increase from 2021. If you are an admin, please authenticate by logging in again. Whether or not the state makes significant progress in closing the income gap with the U.S. will depend in large part on investments in education, as well as other drivers of innovation. Chart. Official websites use .gov This report compares the effect of different migration assumptions across several projections scenarios with the results of the main series. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, Super Sectors Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale MSA Nonfarm Employment 2018Annual Average, * Transaction Privilege and Severance Tax, Source: Arizona Department of Revenue 2019 Annual Report. If you like this . 877-861-2010 (U.S. and Canada only) By including assumptions about the mortality of native and foreign-born people, the 2017 projections better account for the effects of international migration on the population of the United States. This report highlights projected demographic changes of slower growth, considerable aging, and increased racial and ethnic diversity. Georgetown was followed by Leander, Texas (10.1%); Queen Creek Town, Arizona (8.9%); Buckeye, Arizona (8.6%); and New Braunfels, Texas (8.3%). The long-run outlook for the state is strong. The seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate bounced up to 10.0%, but remained below the national rate at 11.1%. Show publisher information Browse our collection of stories and more. HomeBusiness NewsArizonas 30-year outlook: Short-run trouble, long-run growth. %PDF-1.5 % As Exhibit 1 shows, state job gains rebound strongly from the COVID-19 recession, then decelerate to just over 1.0% per year by 2050. Browse our topics and subtopics to find information and data. Indeed, by 2050, net migration is forecast to be responsible for all state population increase. ) or https:// means youve safely connected to the .gov website. While Arizona makes progress during the forecast, the rate remains well below the nation, reflecting the states demographic mix. hb```RfV~ !GCqyKg_HuV4CG:%?g`(u;wm qGF@p4u0d Q[[B@[cFP@f@DU@ 9Wj`rjgVj(P2c @. Even so, Arizona continues to far outpace growth at the national level. During the next 30 years, Arizona population is forecast to rise by 2.81 million, hitting 10.1 million by 2050. Need more information about the outlook for Arizona, Phoenix, and Tucson? Normally, between 67 and 70 percent of Arizona's population lives in Phoenix. Need more information about the outlook for Arizona, Phoenix, and Tucson? These data did not paint such a rosy picture in June. U.S. - projected state population by state 2040 Published by Erin Duffin , Sep 30, 2022 This statistic represents projected population of the United States in 2040, broken down by state. Measuring America's People, Places, and Economy. The recovery begins in the third quarter, but even so, real GDP falls by 6.1% in 2020. Secure .gov websites use HTTPS A new series of videos titled "Each US States' Top 30 Cities in 2050". Arizonas job-population ratio rises during the next 30 years, reaching 44.1% by 2050. Overall, Arizona is on pace to recover to pre-pandemic levels of economic activity in 2021, probably well before the nation as a whole. All previously published estimates (e.g., old vintages) are superseded and archived on theFTP2 site. Its July 1, 2021, population of 8.5 million was more than twice that of the next largest city, Los Angeles, with a population of nearly 4 million. The average weekly wage in the Phoenix MSA for 2018was $1,038and the average annual wage in the Phoenix MSA was $53,966, putting the MSA in the top 20% of large regions nationally. Employment Compare Western States and U.S. Employment Compare Select Western Metros. Failure to invest in human capital accumulation will make it very difficult for the state to eliminate the income gap with the nation. As a Premium user you get access to the detailed source references and background information about this statistic. That translated into 2.6% of Arizonas total personal income last year. Copyright 2023 AZ Big Media | All Rights Reserved | Site by Blufish, Ranking Arizona: Top 10 cybersecurity companies for 2023, Heres how the Joy Bus helps home-bound cancer patients, How Small Business Boot Camp boosts Arizonas small business community. The data will be embargoed (June 28, 2022). This data is critical for government programs, policies, and decision-making. A locked padlock A locked padlock A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. The top five counties with the largest numeric gains in housing units between July 1, 2020, and July 1, 2021, were Harris County, Texas (34,132); Maricopa County, Arizona (29,935); Travis County, Texas (25,693); Los Angeles County, California (22,925); and Fort Bend County, Texas (14,230). Employment recovers faster under the optimistic scenario, with jobs reaching their prior peak by the first quarter of 2021. Lock Overall, that implies that Arizona has replaced 46.4% of the jobs lost from February to April. The pessimistic scenario assumes a somewhat slower, more prolonged recovery. While only 4% of all cities and towns had a population of 50,000 or more in 2021, collectively they contained 129.3 million people nearly 39% of the U.S. population, said Crystal Delb, a statistician in the Population Division at the Census Bureau. Even so, high unemployment keeps inflation low. The 2017 population projections series updates the prior series released in 2014, which was the first to incorporate separate assumptions about the fertility of native and foreign-born women living in the United States, since the latter tend to have higher fertility rates. Phoenix's metro area was. The state also adds 1.58 million jobs and $343 billion in real personal income during the forecast period. The forecast calls for employment to return to its first quarter 2020 level by the second quarter of 2021. A lock ( A lock ( Growth is positive in 2021 and 2022 at 3.7% and 3.6%, respectively. The state also adds 1.58 million jobs and $343 billion in real personal income during the forecast period. Census Bureau Projects U.S. and World Populations on New Year's Day December 29, 2022 The U.S. Census Bureau projected the U.S. population will be 334,233,854 on January 1, 2023. Secure .gov websites use HTTPS Official websites use .gov Browse our collection of stories and more. Following Los Angeles in population size were Chicago, Illinois (2.7 million); Houston, Texas (2.3 million); Phoenix, Arizona (1.6 million); Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (1.6 million); San Antonio, Texas (1.5 million); San Diego, California (1.4 million); Dallas, Texas (1.3 million); and San Jose, California (1.0 million). These projections do not include any assumptions about the possible long-run impacts of the pandemic on the U.S. economy. Browse our topics and subtopics to find information and data. The best of the best: the portal for top lists & rankings: Strategy and business building for the data-driven economy: Industry-specific and extensively researched technical data (partially from exclusive partnerships). 301-763-3030 or Historical and Projected Gains to Life Expectancy, 1960-2060. Overall, Arizona is on pace to recover to pre-pandemic levels of economic activity in 2021, probably well before the nation as a whole. Arizona Posted Another Solid Month of Job Gains in Arizonas Job Growth Revised Up in 2021 and 2022. Access demographic, economic and population data from the U.S. Census Bureau. 0 New population estimates and projections and other demographic data up to the year 2100 for 30 countries and areas in the International Data Base (IDB). Innovation is the main driver and it depends in part on investments in human capital, primarily education. On an annual average basis, state job growth is forecast to hit 4.3% in 2021 (the rebound year) and then gradually decelerate to 1.8% by 2026. The current metro area population of Phoenix in 2023 is 4,717,000, a 1.4% increase from 2022. We have provided a few examples below that you can copy and paste to your site: Your data export is now complete. Browse our collection of stories and more. Employment begins to recover in the third quarter of 2020 (just as in the baseline), but does not reach the previous peak until the third quarter of 2022. This poster examines projected life expectancy in the United States and explores differences between the native and foreign-born populations. Tables based on the 2017 series are available in the 2017 National Population Projections Tables: Main Series and 2017 National Populations Projections Tables: Alternative Scenarios sections. You need a Statista Account for unlimited access. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. The global human population reached 8.0 billion in mid-November 2022 from an estimated 2.5 billion people in 1950, adding 1 billion people since 2010 and 2 billion since 1998. There is still a huge amount of uncertainty about the future of the outbreak and the economic impacts associated with it. A new round of national and 50-state population projections for 2030-2050, benchmarked on the 2020 Census | by Fall 2023 Projections for the 50 States and D.C. PHOENIX, AZ The 2020 Census released its final results, showing Maricopa County's drastic 15.8 percent population growth from 2010 to 2020.
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